Dreams for a white Christmas are looking to come true for 2019 with the National Weather Service expecting up to 10 inches in the mountains and up to 4 inches in lower elevations with the bulk of the storm expected to hit the night of Christmas Eve and then extend overnight.
“You might see some light precipitation Tuesday afternoon, were still on the cusp of determining if it might start out as rain in lower elevations. In Durango and Cortez, you might see a rain-snow mix first, turning to snow overnight,” said Ben Moyer, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Grand Junction.
Moyer’s cautioned that it’s still early in forecasting snow accumulation amounts, and those amounts could change as the storm comes more into focus. The heaviest snow is expected to fall early Christmas morning, he said.
Snow squalls could extend into Thursday, Moyer said, but he doesn’t expect significant snow accumulations in Southwest Colorado on Thursday.
Tuesday’s high temperature in Durango is expected to hit 42 degrees and 44 in Cortez favoring a rain-snow mix if the storm comes earlier than the expected Tuesday night arrival, Moyer said.
Lows on Tuesday are expected to be in the low 20s in Durango and Cortez and on Christmas Day they are expected to be in the high teens.
Moyer expected hazardous winter driving conditions in the high elevations of the San Juan Mountains beginning Christmas Eve and extending into Christmas Day.
Another storm could hit Southwest Colorado Friday and Saturday, but current models are showing the bulk of the storm will hit south, in New Mexico, and then move into southeast Colorado, with most of the action missing Southwest Colorado, Moyer said.
“If the track changes and moves further north, it will hit Southwest Colorado, but right now it’s looking like most of the storm will move south,” Moyer said.
Current weather patterns over the West Coast are allowing storms to flow over the Four Corners giving a bountiful amount of early winter snow.
Currently, the Natural Resources Conservation Service Colorado SNOTEL Map shows the San Juan, Animas, Dolores and San Miguel river basins to be holding 122% of the average 30-year snowpack.
The entire state has 126% of the 30-year snowpack.
Purgatory Resort is listing a 36-inch base depth and 10 of 12 lifts open. Telluride Ski Area lists a base depth of 32 inches and 15 of 17 lifts open. Wolf Creek Ski Area lists a 52-inch midway depth with the resort 100% open.
parmijo@durangoherald.com
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December 23, 2019 at 02:43AM
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